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U.S. April Consumer Price Index: Peak inflation provides no solace
About the best one can say about the April inflation report is that year-over-year metrics appear to have topped while core inflation increased.
Why excess labor demand is unhealthy
We believe the imbalance in the labor market should prompt companies to reassess their growth potential, and as a result, their demand for labor.
The price of war: Risks around the inflation outlook
While we expect the annual inflation rate to peak this quarter as the comparisons to the lower levels of a year ago wear off, the risk of rising prices will remain.
U.S. April jobs report: Another month of solid payroll gains
Sustained strength in wages continues to attract workers back into the American labor force which resulted in a net increase of 428,000 in April.
Fed policy and the natural rate of interest—a delicate balancing act
The current estimate of the natural rate of interest is 0.5%, hardly enough to compensate for the risk of investment.
FOMC decision: Policy, price stability and balance sheet strategy
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday showed that it intends to achieve price stability, maximum sustainable employment and long-term growth despite the risk of a…
RSM US Supply Chain Index: Bracing for more disruptions
Widespread lockdowns in China and prolonged geopolitical conflict in Ukraine will most likely assure another round of supply chain snarls ahead.
RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index: Decelerating growth as tensions mount
The RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index is signaling the potential of further economic moderation from rising prices and slowing demand.
Consumers spent more in March despite rising inflation
American consumers defied rising inflation and market uncertainties in March, continuing to spend more on goods and services as their wages increased and they…
Balancing the three pillars of IT
The three priorities for financial services companies are IT needs cybersecurity and technological innovation.
Chart of the day: Initial jobless claims ease amid tight labor market
New claims for jobless benefits fell by 5,000 last week to 180,000 as labor demand continued to be robust and layoffs remained historically low.
U.S. GDP declines by 1.4%: This is what an overheating economy looks like
Growth in the first three months of the year contracted at 1.4% pace as Americans turned to imports to meet torrid demand that is simply unsustainable.
Pending home sales fell back to pre-pandemic level amid rising rates
pending home sales fell 1.2% in March, declining for the fifth month in a row, as demand continued to slow due to high prices and rising mortgage rates.
Durable goods orders bounced back in March
Orders for durable goods bounced back in March despite interest rate hikes and supply shocks from geopolitical conflict. The top-line durable goods orders…
Consumer confidence declines slightly as new home sales fall 8.6%
Consumer confidence eased in April despite an uptick in expectations, the Conference Board reported on Tuesday.